XRP Price Analysis: A Closer Look at Risks and Expectations

XRP could be headed for further downside if it fails to secure a meaningful recovery soon, with 41.5% of XRP holders underwater at current prices, according to analysts. Crypto analytics firm Glassnode stated in an X post on Monday that the “XRP supply in profit” has reached its lowest levels since November 2024, when the price was approximately $0.53.

“Today, despite trading ~4× higher ($2.15), 41.5% of supply (~26.5B XRP) sits in loss — a clear sign of a top-heavy and structurally fragile market dominated by late buyers,” Glassnode added.

IG Australia market analyst Tony Sycamore noted that the recent price drop likely surprised many XRP investors, and the top-heavy structure implies some may seek to cut losses if the downward trend persists.

Impact of Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) on XRP

One factor that XRP holders are hoping will help restore bullish momentum is the wave of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) expected to enter the market this week. Following the launch of the first spot-XRP ETF by Canary Capital on Thursday, which represented the most successful first-day performance for US ETFs in 2025, four more ETFs from Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, 21Shares, and CoinShares are just days away from launch.

However, the price has yet to demonstrate a resurgence. XRP is currently trading at $2.14, down over 40% since reaching its all-time high of $3.65 on July 18.


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