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Wednesday Nov 26 2025 00:00
1 min
This report examines the findings of the latest National Association for Business Economics (NABE) survey regarding the US economic outlook for 2026. It provides a comprehensive analysis of expert opinions on economic growth, inflation, the labor market, and monetary policy.
The survey anticipates moderate growth of 2% in 2026, driven by stronger consumer spending and business investment. However, economists note that stricter tariff policies and immigration enforcement could negatively impact growth.
Inflation is projected to close this year at 2.9% and edge down to 2.6% in 2026. Economists attribute a significant portion of inflation to tariffs.
Job growth is expected to remain soft, with an anticipated average monthly increase of 58,000 nonfarm payroll jobs. The unemployment rate is projected to rise to 4.5% in early 2026 and remain steady throughout the year.
The survey anticipates a 25-basis-point interest rate cut in December, followed by an additional 50-basis-point cut in 2026.
Despite recent positive economic data, some experts remain cautious about the risk of a recession in 2026. They cite concerns about persistent inflation and market volatility.
The NABE survey provides valuable insights into the US economic outlook for 2026. However, investors and policymakers should exercise caution and monitor economic developments closely.
Risk Warning: this article represents only the author’s views and is for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice or financial guidance, nor does it represent the stance of the Markets.com platform.When considering shares, indices, forex (foreign exchange) and commodities for trading and price predictions, remember that trading CFDs involves a significant degree of risk and could result in capital loss.Past performance is not indicative of any future results. This information is provided for informative purposes only and should not be construed to be investment advice. Trading cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets is restricted for all UK retail clients.
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