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Escalating Nuclear Threats in Ukraine: Russian Flights Trigger Global Concern

In disclosures to Reuters, Ukraine's chief state prosecutor has revealed alarming details about Russian military operations near the country's nuclear installations. This previously undisclosed information indicates that Russian forces have repeatedly utilized flight paths for drones and missiles that pass over areas adjacent to the abandoned Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant, thereby substantially elevating the risk of catastrophic nuclear incidents. These revelations come at a time when Ukraine is preparing to commemorate the 40th anniversary of the devastating 1986 Chernobyl disaster.

Systematic Targeting of Nuclear Facilities

Ruslan Kravchenko, the Prosecutor General, stated in a written declaration that the flight paths of "Kinzhal" missiles, a type of air-launched hypersonic weapon, have frequently transited over the vicinity of the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant, as well as near the Khmelnytskyi Nuclear Power Plant in western Ukraine, which houses two reactors. Reports indicate the detection of at least 35 "Kinzhal" missiles within a 20-kilometer radius of these two power stations. More disturbingly, 18 of these missiles followed the same corridor, flying within the 20-kilometer exclusion zone around both nuclear facilities.

Kravchenko characterized these flight patterns as lacking any plausible military justification, asserting that the clear objective of these military operations is to instill fear and create terror threats by targeting nuclear sites. The Russian Ministry of Defence has not responded to requests for comment on these allegations.

International Concern and Calls for Restraint

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has confirmed its continuous awareness of military activities in and around nuclear power plants, including strikes on critical substations essential for nuclear safety. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi has repeatedly expressed grave concerns that such military actions pose a severe threat to nuclear safety and security, with a high potential to trigger nuclear accidents. Grossi has consistently urged all parties to exercise maximum restraint in the vicinity of nuclear facilities to prevent unintended incidents.

Missile Malfunctions and the Kinzhal Threat

The Russian "Kinzhal" missile, an air-launched hypersonic weapon capable of carrying a 500 kg warhead, is a cornerstone of Russia's aerial arsenal, championed by President Putin. With speeds reaching up to 6,500 kilometers per hour, it can cover 5 kilometers in mere seconds. Kravchenko disclosed that three instances of "Kinzhal" missiles losing control during flight have occurred, with debris found within 10 kilometers of the Khmelnytskyi Nuclear Power Plant. While the exact cause of these malfunctions remains unclear, the pattern of the debris suggests that these missiles were not shot down by Ukrainian air defense systems.

The 1986 Chernobyl explosion, which dispersed radiation across Europe, serves as a stark reminder of the grave risks associated with nuclear facilities. The last operational reactor at the plant was permanently shut down in 2000.

Drones Threaten Radioactive Containment Structures

Since the commencement of widespread Russian aerial assaults on Ukraine in July, radar systems have detected at least 92 Russian drones entering within a 5-kilometer radius of the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant's containment structure. This sarcophagus-like shelter encases the No. 4 reactor, which exploded and caught fire on April 26, 1986, preventing the escape of radioactive materials. Kravchenko indicated that the actual number of flights is significantly higher, as a single military radar signal might correspond to multiple drones, and some drones may evade radar detection.

Kravchenko condemned the deliberate overflight of nuclear facilities by drones armed with heavy warheads as "extremely irresponsible and a complete disregard for the safety of the Ukrainian and indeed the entire European population."

Irreversible Corrosion Risks for Chernobyl's Sarcophagus

In February of last year, Ukraine identified a Russian long-range attack drone as having struck the Chernobyl facility, penetrating the radioactive containment structure. Russia at the time denied responsibility, claiming its forces never target nuclear infrastructure and accusing Ukraine of staging a provocation. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development estimates that repairing the damage to the containment structure will cost at least 500 million Euros (approximately $588 million). If left unrepaired, the structure could suffer irreversible corrosion within four years.

Kravchenko stated that investigations by the Ukrainian Prosecutor General's Office have concluded that the Russian strike was a deliberate act. The angle of descent at which the drone impacted the structure indicates that a suicide drone would accelerate during its terminal attack phase to hit the target, consistent with deliberate targeting. He pointed out that Russian forces deliberately use Chernobyl as a route for drone raids to bypass Ukraine's dense air defense network.

Ukraine's territory is more than twice the size of Italy, with limited air defense capabilities. Consequently, Ukrainian forces deploy their air defense systems primarily in densely populated areas and around critical infrastructure to maximize the effectiveness of their defense against Russian aerial attacks. The Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant is located less than 10 kilometers from the Belarusian border and approximately 100 kilometers from Kyiv. The entire area is a high-radiation exclusion zone.


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