Overview

As Bitcoin continues to attract institutional treasury capital, Ethereum-focused companies are beginning to experience a shortage of available liquidity, potentially positioning the asset as a shorting opportunity for investors looking to hedge their exposure to the digital asset sector.

Key Findings from 10x Research Report

A recent report from 10x Research suggested that shorting Ether (ETH) could serve as a strategic hedge against Bitcoin (BTC). According to the report, Bitcoin remains the primary focus for institutional investment, while Ether exhibits structural vulnerabilities. Analysts stated that the “digital asset treasury” narratives surrounding Ethereum have led institutions to accumulate ETH and subsequently distribute it to retail investors – a pattern that is now faltering amid a lack of transparency in private investment in public equity (PIPE) disclosures and uncertain capital flows.

Case Study: BitMine

10x Research cited treasury company BitMine as a case study, noting that their strategy “enabled institutional investors to accumulate ETH at par and later distribute it to retail buyers at a premium – a feedback loop that continually drove prices higher.”

Technical Indicators

The researchers also pointed to several technical indicators suggesting Ether’s price could decline sharply if support near $3,000 fails, potentially falling to around $2,700. Weekly stochastics are signaling a topping pattern, while the multi-year wedge formation has revealed a false breakout.

ETH Treasury Companies Remain Bullish Despite Market Risk

Currently, there are 15 Ether-focused digital asset treasury companies holding a combined 4.7 million ETH, according to industry data. BitMine is by far the largest, holding approximately 3.3 million ETH on its balance sheet. SharpLink follows, holding around 859,853 ETH, and Bit Digital with 150,244 ETH.

BitMine's Perspective

Despite recent volatility in the Ether market, including waning demand from US spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), BitMine chair Tom Lee has maintained a bullish outlook. In remarks last month, Lee reiterated his view that Ether’s price could reach $10,000 this year, arguing that the asset has been establishing a solid base since 2021.

Market Caution Prevails

Despite Lee’s optimism, a broader sense of caution has taken hold in the market following the Oct. 10 crash, which wiped out approximately $19 billion in crypto positions – the largest liquidation event on record. Since then, Ether and the broader digital asset sector have struggled to regain momentum.

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