Crypto Market Awaits Potential Boost from US Senate Budget Deal

The cryptocurrency market could soon see some much-needed relief after the US Senate reached an agreement on a bipartisan budget deal to end the government shutdown, according to a report from Politico.

Pending legislation to fund the US government has more than enough support to pass the 60-vote threshold, Politico reported on Sunday, citing two individuals familiar with the matter.

Republican Senate Majority Leader John Thune's efforts to garner Democratic support for a House-approved bill appear to be gaining traction, potentially bringing an end to the prolonged 40-day government shutdown.

An official vote is still required to finalize the agreement. The ongoing uncertainty surrounding the US government's reopening has been a major factor hindering Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader crypto market from staging a significant rebound.

Bitcoin initially surged to a new high of $126,080 within the first week of the government shutdown on October 6th. However, it has since declined by over 17% to $104,370, according to data from CoinGecko. Bitcoin's decline over the past month included a double-digit percentage drop on October 10th, following President Trump's announcement of potential tariffs on China, which sent shockwaves through the financial markets.

Bitcoin Experienced Significant Gains After Last Shutdown Ended

The previous US government shutdown occurred between late December 2018 and late January 2019, during President Trump's first term.

Following the resolution of that shutdown on January 25, 2019, Bitcoin experienced a remarkable surge, rising over 265% from $3,550 to $13,000 over the subsequent five months.

Prediction Markets Favor Shutdown Ending This Week

Traders on prediction market Polymarket are increasingly confident that the government shutdown will be resolved by Thursday, with the market indicating a 54% probability of a resolution between Tuesday and Friday.

These odds represent a significant increase from just 27% a day prior. Similar trends are observed on competitor platform Kalshi, which estimates the shutdown will end on Friday, marking 44 days since its commencement.

This development comes as President Trump announced on Sunday that the majority of Americans would receive a $2,000 dividend from tariff revenue. He stated that approximately 85% of adults would be eligible, excluding high-income earners.

Magazine: Bitcoin OG Kyle Chassé is one strike away from a YouTube permaban


Risk Warning: This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, investment research, or a recommendation to trade. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of Markets.com. When considering shares, indices, forex (foreign exchange), and commodities for trading and price predictions, remember that trading CFDs involves a significant degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leveraged products can result in capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Before trading, ensure you fully understand the risks involved and consider your investment objectives and level of experience. Cryptocurrency CFD trading restrictions may apply depending on jurisdiction.

Latest news

Monday, 15 June 2026

Indices

Bank of Japan Raises Interest Rate to 1% as Yen Pressure Persists

Monday, 15 June 2026

Indices

Gold Price Today, June 16: Spot Gold Holds Steady Near $4,311 as Markets Await Fed and US-Iran Deal Details

Monday, 15 June 2026

Indices

Crypto Market Rally Extends as Iran Deal Optimism Lifts Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP

Monday, 15 June 2026

Indices

Nvidia Bond Sale Swells to $25 Billion as AI Credit Demand Stays Strong

Sunday, 14 June 2026

Indices

Gold Price Today, June 15: Spot Gold Surges 2% to $4,304 on US-Iran Peace Deal

Sunday, 14 June 2026

Indices

Oil Prices Fall as U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Eases Hormuz Supply Risk

Thursday, 11 June 2026

Indices

SpaceX IPO Set for Friday Debut: Historic $1.77 Trillion Valuation Confirmed

Thursday, 11 June 2026

Indices

EUR/JPY Forecast: Euro-Yen Cross Stays Supported as Traders Eye 186.21 Breakout

Thursday, 11 June 2026

Indices

Gold Price Today, June 12: Spot Gold Breaks Below $4,200 to Hit Lowest Level Since Late March and Rebounds to $4,240

Wednesday, 10 June 2026

Indices

Gold Price Today, June 11: Spot Gold Breaks Below $4,200 to Hit Lowest Level Since Late March