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Saturday Nov 8 2025 23:10
2 min
According to analyst Adam Livingston, the Bitcoin (BTC) power law indicates a "fair value" of $142,000 for BTC, suggesting a potential upward price surge. Livingston projects Bitcoin's upper band price by December 31, 2025, at approximately $512,000, with the fair-value price around $142,000 and the lower end just above $50,000.
The price "hugging" the fair value line since March 2024 is considered unusual and indicative of Bitcoin being primed for a significant rise. Livingston stated: "Every previous time BTC did this, one of two things happened: It exploded upward because it had been underpriced relative to its long-term power law, or it briefly dipped into the lower band and then ripped vertically, harder than before."
This bullish price prediction emerges amidst lowered BTC forecasts from analysts and declining cryptocurrency prices, fueling investor concerns about the onset of a potential bear market.
Several investment firms have revised their BTC price predictions downwards following a market downturn in October that saw BTC's price dip below the critical psychological level of $100,000.
Galaxy, for instance, reduced its year-end 2025 Bitcoin forecast from $180,000 to $120,000, citing the October market crash, reduced volatility due to market maturation, and capital flowing into alternative narratives such as Artificial Intelligence.
Alex Thorn, Head of Firmwide Research at Galaxy, noted: "If Bitcoin can maintain the $100,000 level, we believe the almost three-year bull market will remain structurally intact, though the pace of future gains may be slower."
Thorn added that the October crypto market correction "materially damaged" the short-term bullish price trend, but maintained a long-term optimistic outlook on Bitcoin's price trajectory.
Cathie Wood, Founder of Ark Invest, also adjusted her long-term BTC price target downwards by $300,000, attributing the change to stablecoins diminishing Bitcoin's market dominance by fulfilling the demand for a store-of-value asset in emerging economies.
Risk Warning: This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, investment research, or a recommendation to trade. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of Markets.com. When considering shares, indices, forex (foreign exchange), and commodities for trading and price predictions, remember that trading CFDs involves a significant degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leveraged products can result in capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Before trading, ensure you fully understand the risks involved and consider your investment objectives and level of experience. Cryptocurrency CFD trading restrictions may apply depending on jurisdiction.
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