Promotion of Best CFD Trading Platform

Lyn Alden: Bitcoin Market Cycle Could Extend Beyond Expectations

A significant downside plunge for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market doesn’t look likely at this stage, according to macroeconomist Lyn Alden. During a recent podcast interview, Alden stated, “We haven’t hit euphoric levels in this cycle; therefore, there is less of a reason to expect a kind of major capitulation.”

She also dismissed the idea that the four-year cycle is still intact, saying, “The cycle could go on for longer than people can expect, because it’s not driven by the halving, it’s driven by broader macro and interest in the asset itself.” This sentiment mirrors comments from other crypto industry executives.

Market Outcomes Usually Not As Good or Bad As People Expect

However, not everyone agrees with Alden that a major capitulation is off the table for now. Vineet Budki, CEO of venture firm Sigma Capital, recently predicted a Bitcoin retracement of 65% to 70% in the next two years.

Alden stated that market outcomes rarely match the extremes investors imagine. “It’s usually not as good as people expect and it’s usually not as bad as people expect is often how these things play out,” she said.

This comes as Bitcoin has been in a downtrend since hitting new all-time highs of $125,100 on Oct. 5, dropping to as low as $80,700 on Thursday before recovering slightly to $85,710 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap.

Market sentiment has also fallen, as many traders were expecting year-end strength and even new highs, with some calling for a move toward $250,000.

No One Is Owed a Bull Market

Bitcoin’s recent price dip has traders obsessing over when the next uptrend will begin, but Alden said investors need to stop treating bull cycles like they’re guaranteed. “People kind of get in their mindset where they are owed a bull market,” Alden said.

Alden expects Bitcoin to reclaim the $100,000 level in 2026 and to either set new all-time highs that year or, if not, in 2027.


Risk Warning: This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, investment research, or a recommendation to trade. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of Markets.com. When considering shares, indices, forex (foreign exchange), and commodities for trading and price predictions, remember that trading CFDs involves a significant degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leveraged products can result in capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Before trading, ensure you fully understand the risks involved and consider your investment objectives and level of experience. Cryptocurrency CFD trading restrictions may apply depending on jurisdiction.

Latest news

sliver

Thursday, 2 July 2026

Indices

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Rebounds Above $62 as Fed Bets Ease

oil

Thursday, 2 July 2026

Indices

WTI Oil Price Holds Near $69 as Weaker Dollar Supports Crude

gold

Thursday, 2 July 2026

Indices

Gold Price July 3: Spot Surges Past $4,120 on Weak Jobs Data

gold

Wednesday, 1 July 2026

Indices

Spot Gold Rebounds Above $4,000 as US Manufacturing Slows and Fed Shifts Messaging

oil

Wednesday, 1 July 2026

Indices

Crude Oil Prices Extend Post-War Slump as Supply Risks Fade and Hormuz Traffic Rebounds

U.S.-Non-Farm Payrolls

Wednesday, 1 July 2026

Indices

US Jobs Report Preview: Will June Payrolls Revive Fed Hike Bets?

Wednesday, 1 July 2026

Indices

Markets are carefully monitoring June US labor numbers today

bitcoin-price

Tuesday, 30 June 2026

Indices

Bitcoin Price Outlook: Could BTC Fall Toward $53,000 After Losing $60,000 Support?

oil

Tuesday, 30 June 2026

Indices

Brent Holds Above $73 as Iran Talks Uncertainty Offsets Hormuz Recovery

gold

Tuesday, 30 June 2026

Indices

Gold Price Today, July 1: Spot Gold Faces Worst Quarterly Loss in 13 Years